MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf585391b41c6a62b49cf46aefb03e1ace9249b233ecbcb2918d2b899efd211b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 20,035$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 9,057$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 8,211$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 4,923$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.41 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 4,400$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 3,785$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,733$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.94 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 2,470$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 2,066$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.12 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 1,835$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 1,820$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,368$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago White Sox | 11c | 1,110$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 917$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 903.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 749.02$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 404$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 392.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 328.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 327.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 288$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 231.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chicago White Sox | 23c | 230.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 221.23$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 177.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 165.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 161.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 140.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 124.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 94.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 93.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 89.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 89.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 87.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 84.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 81.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 80.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 69.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 54.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 52.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 52.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 31.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e5…7994backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.