MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644db84cef01c34afac5f11b29322adaa90317c2a277210c73a6f88ebc92d59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Boston Red Sox, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 14,548$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.56 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,948$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 4,100$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.32 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,100$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 1,915$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,268$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.64 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 75c | 832.29$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 810$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 700.83$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 626.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.38 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 565.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 514.01$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 506.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 499.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 352.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 343.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 296$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 280.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…418abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 201.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 184.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Boston Red Sox | 10c | 166.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 79c | 160.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 133.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 114.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 89.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 87.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 69.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 69.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 73c | 52.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 44.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.