MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57bf5750fce55ca253091417416f1df059977efc6063c97e5465bc7ea6bb656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 10,592$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 8,629$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 1,244$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 1,058$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 807.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 805.79$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 660.46$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 509.94$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 445.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 426.14$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 406.32$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 302.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 275$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 254.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 208$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 171.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 170.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 47.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 27.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…47b6backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.