Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c19dc3c8f4b3c98b9d5fe6589b52f9e884bb8512311e2cfa654563ec56afdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 58c | 5,591$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 44c | 4,848$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.82 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,960$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 3,947$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.59 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 58c | 3,332$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 44c | 1,559$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.06 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 957.87$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.83 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 905.3$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 57c | 878.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 79c | 830.33$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 59c | 737.85$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 736.42$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 67c | 676.95$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 593.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.32 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 59c | 487.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 43c | 426.15$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 49c | 403.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…f429backed Over | 59c | 396.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 389.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 295.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 59c | 294.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 56c | 276$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 229.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 57c | 194.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 62c | 175.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 162.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 31c | 161.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 56c | 145.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 128.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 120.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 56c | 119.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 57c | 110.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 41c | 99.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 43c | 99.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 61c | 96.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 93.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 57c | 88.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Under | 50c | 82.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 45c | 76.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 65.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 64.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 49c | 60.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 49.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 59c | 44.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 56c | 44.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 44c | 42.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 77c | 41.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 40c | 40.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 55c | 39.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 58c | 37.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 59c | 32.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 31.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 45c | 28.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 46c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Over | 50c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…a7c1backed Under | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…53b7backed Over | 56c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 56c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over | 59c | 17.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5this page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.