Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x587a9e922ae6311c40a48b610cdb4641eb1d75763f20715ac6e24fe2fb7d39a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,893 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 61c | 825.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 536.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 425.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 278.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 239.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 67c | 234.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 125.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 59c | 121$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Yes | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 69.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 58c | 60.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 56.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 53c | 56.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 46c | 50.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Yes | 60c | 35.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 59c | 33.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 60c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 41c | 32.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 40c | 31.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa14…96bbbacked Yes | 59c | 24.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.