Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970d3b98f26d898a028b0c9d56a0c2a8725d68f10d55a355ac11c5f65fb1a246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 4,380$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 30c | 2,914$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.2 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 27c | 1,250$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 77c | 1,221$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 699.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 472.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 31c | 323.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 69c | 310.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 30c | 271$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 207.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 71c | 200.75$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 70c | 63.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 53.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 29c | 51.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 46.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 71c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.