South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9d7ae2f20134ae5cbc90746905d8568ab47b1402fbdcb2e01ea6e2e491cee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 25,107$9,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,182.48 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 6,219$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.06 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 5,760$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 5,459$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 34c | 3,187$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 2,354$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 2,340$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.93 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 62c | 2,015$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 1,612$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 1,468$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.02 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 1,203$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,031$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 962.59$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 838.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked No | 9c | 657.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 635.51$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 630$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 52c | 512.78$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 66c | 485.24$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 480$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 62c | 454$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 38c | 418.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 286$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 62c | 283$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 265.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 253.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 38c | 179.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 178$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 38c | 140.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed No | 11c | 97.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 35c | 84.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 82.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 79.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 43c | 75.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 57c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 62c | 71.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 39c | 67.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 36c | 61.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 33c | 42.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 61c | 39.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 56c | 36.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…79aabacked Yes | 36c | 31.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4e…a689backed No | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…3cf4backed No | 65c | 28.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked Yes | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 60c | 27.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 76c | 23.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…5a9dbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.