South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec1efed761d17dd9bae30a415d86b5f9ae0f7779f2e7bc27018660a5d2803b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 5,979$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.27 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,522$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,570$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 2,444$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.45 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 19c | 1,574$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,249$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 14c | 1,022$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 628.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 541$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 483.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 480$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 113.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 27c | 111.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 26c | 84.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 73c | 81.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…2a54backed Yes | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 64.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 56.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.