Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027ac6ac97f3b59a51144f2368b922f8e46b495db7724115b6f61ec3b368a519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,742 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3113…7f06backed Yes | 1c | 3,451$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,083$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.14 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,069$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,205$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…c976backed Yes | 25c | 1,180$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 23c | 352.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 266.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 32c | 254.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 249.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 189.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 23c | 181$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 164.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 141.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 140.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 121$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Yes | 23c | 113.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…c1a5backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…6e30backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 33c | 95.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 69.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 23c | 57.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 43.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 41.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 33c | 39.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 31.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…09f3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 70c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.