Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed200cbf7d79007b64c3b060fad76780d097fa5a78afde1d8220af6f28aed6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 8,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 45c | 7,691$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.17 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…7f06backed Yes | 0c | 3,340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.52 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,359$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 802.8$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 640.17$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 637.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 49c | 444.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 404$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 369.18$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 227.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 207.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 188$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 177.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 156.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 126.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 45c | 117$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 59c | 56.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 53.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 49.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 48c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 42.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 45c | 28.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.