South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456a1c9e448f24331ea8df252554d8995cfda67da3a88ac049b8185343a011d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 49c | 55,039$26,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,196.04 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 15,224$7,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,764.24 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 14,293$8,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,440.1 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 39c | 12,830$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,826.3 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 51c | 7,646$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 51c | 7,086$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.86 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 3,633$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Under | 48c | 1,642$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,202$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 916.08$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 52c | 800$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 686$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 670.45$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.28 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 617.01$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 49c | 615.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 600.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 45c | 544.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 19c | 542.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 479.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 49c | 461.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 23c | 435.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 51c | 399.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 398.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 51c | 393$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 299.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 278.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 249.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 50c | 200.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 50c | 196.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 42c | 185.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 8c | 181.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 175.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 52c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 51c | 158.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 155.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 148.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 143.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 38c | 131.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Over | 75c | 60.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 59.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Under | 49c | 54.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 52c | 53.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 52.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Under | 51c | 48.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 51c | 45.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 41.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 39.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 67c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 47c | 34.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 52c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 51c | 31.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 63c | 29.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 50c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 37c | 28.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.