MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e80b4f7fd834431cd5378c35d79ca1a87bb627aad21b5b27295a3c2ae772eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Atlanta Braves, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 20,000$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.51 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 19,226$7,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,686.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 9,604$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 7,501$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.23 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 5,460$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 4,735$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 4,338$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,116$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,587$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,106$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.43 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 946$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 896.62$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 747$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 682.92$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 518.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 515.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 508.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 451.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 390.34$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 198$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 191.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 179.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 167.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 155.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 124.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 109.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 109.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 103.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 102.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 70.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 63.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 55.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 53.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…229ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 52.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 43.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 37.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 36.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 36.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 28.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…2d29backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…789cbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 23.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…1446backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked San Francisco Giants | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 937 | 73.5%689 W · 248 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.