South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e9e6edaf89763666eb2e2ff0f70850c4211cea986243aec10523d96c532bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,799 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 40c | 4,005$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.76 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 3,890$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 2,545$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 59c | 1,628$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 1,238$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,144$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,029$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.23 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed No | 1c | 856.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 808.04$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.19 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 683.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 45c | 571.2$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 439.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 228.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 57c | 199.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 193.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 136.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 134.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 41c | 116.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 106.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 95.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 52c | 94.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 43c | 91.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 71.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 57c | 70.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 44c | 69.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 66.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 31c | 65.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Yes | 40c | 63.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 56c | 50.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 49c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 47.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 55c | 40.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 60c | 33.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 46c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 60c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 56c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…d358backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.