South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d81d70cc4d3398187db54d115591b6d68de00e9419cab19edd0692b843ca9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,764 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 9,994$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.59 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 9,067$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.47 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 6,145$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 5,209$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 5,154$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.64 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.88 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 43c | 2,810$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.44 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 2,749$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 1,681$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.28 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,250$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 43c | 725.09$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 483.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 43c | 466.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 291$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 34c | 280.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 4c | 271.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 20c | 248.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 245.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 237.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 43c | 200.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 41c | 183.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 21c | 170.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked No | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 119.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 56c | 111.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 33c | 108.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 103.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 58c | 95.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 42c | 94.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 75.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed Yes | 43c | 65.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 57c | 60.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 51.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 44.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 34c | 38.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 60c | 34.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 59c | 32.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 42c | 29.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 66c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 58c | 20.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 17.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.