Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e68c04a31ed5efd8da5ff8546db86516ee8daa55d00240cf23a53f0c7ba77e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,013 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,571$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 43c | 581.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 26c | 124.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 98.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 74.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 73.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 24c | 71.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 65.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 71c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 58.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 55.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 39c | 43.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 14.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.