Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc749a75d748bca94942afefa87316a87a4058bb1a4f6fe4d54961bd544cdc27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,521 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,093$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,807$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Yes | 42c | 733.34$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 294.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 104.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 74.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 72.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 63c | 72.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 32c | 62.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 59c | 53.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.6wins | -0.55per pick | 64cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.