South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d62460f2059b40e650b2a951922794984b95c065f64b21ac6eb9ad096a1327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,142$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,096$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.75 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 44c | 455.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 52c | 256.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 72c | 193.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 181$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 87.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 26c | 52.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.