Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c3414ccb318f7a2791e8990bdda49670542571cfcacd91da39df2f716d366b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwich City FCof Norwich City FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 61c | 1,509$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.31 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 13c | 1,249$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Norwich City FC | 63c | 1,034$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 30c | 810.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norwich City FC | 77c | 557.74$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Norwich City FC | 39c | 258.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 25c | 135.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc4…e348backed Norwich City FC | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Norwich City FC | 59c | 84.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Norwich City FC | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Norwich City FC | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Norwich City FC | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 40c | 49.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 39c | 48.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Norwich City FC | 62c | 48.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 41c | 36.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 38c | 36.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 38c | 35.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Norwich City FC | 60c | 35.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 38c | 31.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Norwich City FC | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.