Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee9e2efb22836bf197a911aadb4d0ec84f5e6b13def339f2f6ac24097059675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 67c | 4,159$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.44 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 64c | 1,560$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.04 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,279$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 1,268$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,226$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 27c | 1,225$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 876.59$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.03 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 682.2$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 542.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 39c | 183.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 179.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 147.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.01 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 33c | 135$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 134.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 38c | 107.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 44c | 97.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 62c | 86.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 53.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 35c | 51.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 65c | 46.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 35c | 43.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.