La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28f86e4e21734ece078037aee7e8648e766204ac3de256fcf0f9493257709bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 17,696$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,025.01 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 53c | 10,667$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Over | 50c | 6,169$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 5,986$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.83 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 47c | 5,449$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 48c | 4,156$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.91 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,973$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.65 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 3,378$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.19 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,386$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,992$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 1,848$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.06 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 47c | 1,829$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.48 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 18c | 1,567$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 46c | 1,490$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.39 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 47c | 1,222$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 1,069$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.15 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 807.41$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 796.83$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.87 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under | 49c | 758.85$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 736.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 536.45$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 527.51$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 53c | 523.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 503.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 51c | 502.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…86f7backed Under | 47c | 496.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 51c | 495.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.86 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 488.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 441$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 434.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 434.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 54c | 418.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 418.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 413.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 412.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 51c | 342.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 49c | 316.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 51c | 296.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…6091backed Under | 47c | 277.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…1b95backed Over | 54c | 277.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…329bbacked Under | 47c | 274$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…88abbacked Over | 54c | 272.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f8…c117backed Over | 54c | 272.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…63cebacked Under | 47c | 271.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 51c | 239.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 236.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 209.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 204.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +29.7wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 170.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 54c | 164.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 51c | 152.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 51c | 148.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…dafbbacked Over | 50c | 147.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Under | 23c | 145.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 54c | 144.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 128.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 128.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 115.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 110.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 109.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 47c | 105.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 51c | 102.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 99.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 75.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 73.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 73.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 51c | 69.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.