La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78341de41546fee98888e58951af3e6616053ab6a9a71013775ab36f388afa2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 3,318$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.03 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 44c | 1,259$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 442.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 419.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 414.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 410.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 54c | 405.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 54c | 379.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 46c | 216.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 194.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 191.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 53c | 179.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 52c | 170.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 56c | 108.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 54c | 94.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 13c | 74.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 57c | 68.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 43c | 68.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 56c | 65.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 56c | 65.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 48c | 42.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 48c | 42.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 48c | 42.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 48c | 42.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 46c | 41.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 57c | 37.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 57c | 34.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 47c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…7dedbacked No | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.