La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd199de8570e12701546cdd5ade028ee740b59479712d5a275d5b11b93673259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deportivo Alavésof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Deportivo Alavés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 2,730$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.14 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 24c | 1,951$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 1,081$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…e97bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 1,007$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 999.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 929.31$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 832.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 515.03$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 514.17$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 17c | 488.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 421.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 309.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Deportivo Alavés | 70c | 299.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 289.74$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 274.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 274.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Deportivo Alavés | 68c | 156.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 150.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…dafbbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 143.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 125.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 17c | 116.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 17c | 115.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 107.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 71.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 70.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 60.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 20c | 59.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 37c | 49.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 47.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 35c | 47.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 40.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 37.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 72c | 33.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Deportivo Alavés | 72c | 32.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 28.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Deportivo Alavés | 72c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Deportivo Alavés | 58c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 78c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 71c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.