Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c2aec9f821d590162200fb58fe135c63b346ddad020e626656f7eff13430ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 42c | 42,805$17,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,960.32 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 13,620$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.06 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 40c | 11,848$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.13 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes | 59c | 11,421$6,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 4,392$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 40c | 3,241$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 2,318$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.41 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 41c | 1,537$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 36c | 1,123$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 75c | 841$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 67c | 783$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 764.9$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 22c | 676.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed No | 41c | 631$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 574.02$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 60c | 570$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 481$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 26c | 477.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 42c | 389.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…30debacked No | 5c | 309.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 52c | 299.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 285$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 252$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 249.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…c88bbacked Yes | 55c | 249.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 249.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 232.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 218$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…610cbacked No | 46c | 212.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…48a4backed No | 46c | 210.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 59c | 208.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 58c | 207.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 179.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…3fcbbacked Yes | 55c | 173.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 59c | 164.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…1078backed No | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 153.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 48c | 153.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…cd22backed No | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 69c | 134$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed No | 47c | 133.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 125.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 69c | 123$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 57c | 122.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 20c | 122.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 71c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 96.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 56c | 89.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 72c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 41c | 80.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 41c | 70.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…cdb1backed Yes | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed No | 48c | 65.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…882fbacked Yes | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 58c | 61.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 57.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1155backed Yes | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Yes | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 49.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…5238backed Yes | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 42c | 38.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…84abbacked No | 41c | 36.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 60c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…0407backed Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…c0f9backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed No | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…e5d4backed Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…cc4abacked Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…9e2bbacked Yes | 55c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Yes | 58c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.