Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89852e555c5a4aff40d848f4576b117a739c02faf1a41901dab0d390453bf123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 420.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 39c | 266.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Yes | 63c | 250.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 8c | 220.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 72c | 209$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 60c | 173.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 168.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 61c | 164.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 137.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 132.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 877 | 48.2%423 W · 454 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 131.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 128.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 60c | 107.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1,019 | 51.6%526 W · 493 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…d1c5backed Yes | 61c | 66.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 63c | 55.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 44.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 44.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,424 | 44.3%631 W · 793 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…f845backed Yes | 62c | 40.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…d295backed Yes | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 37c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.