TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9114860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No72c4,239$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.7915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Yes28c2,297$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.125337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c1,553$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.972,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes8c1,463$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11730220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Yes28c1,214$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes28c1,115$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2911717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,110$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No73c1,024$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.012,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c900.76$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes29c897.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.217342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes25c818.91$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6442336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No72c777$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5611444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes28c709.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes28c699.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19628337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No71c653.34$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No72c638.45$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1428873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes19c575.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.765714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c508.95$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.922,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No72c499.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes28c421.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes28c392.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed No77c389.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.944763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes13c376$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb76…0ac4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2572…a8a7backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes28c344.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.495733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfded…4c93backed Yes33c304.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No72c304.14$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.142466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8745421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes29c294.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.279017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No68c293.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes24c287.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes21c280$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.419324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No72c249.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.673,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec8…8c9ebacked Yes21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…0d61backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…9d44backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes27c209$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.437431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ce…8c14backed Yes9c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62512%3 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes28c192.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549942.4%42 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010130.7%31 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b36…d80cbacked Yes28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918641.9%78 W · 108 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcf…d958backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes16c165.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7253436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No73c162.47$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.978838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes28c158.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3816042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd22…2000backed Yes32c155.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes33c151.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No76c144.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6772247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32a9…7dfabacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes21c138.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…8451backed Yes32c125.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5f…c9c7backed Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…0c24backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b4…8200backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x609e…623cbacked Yes28c100.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2917727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011038.2%42 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x458f…d8a1backed Yes28c96.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-61%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes32c94.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304420.5%9 W · 35 L-8.8wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes27c93.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Yes28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Yes29c88.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.617138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512527.2%34 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes29c83.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2419031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes29c81.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.188119.8%16 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3c…104bbacked Yes30c80.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.153826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes27c72.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6723729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…7bd7backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.