TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2775…3652backed Yes31c1,612$493 inLost-$492.9112429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No68c1,103$750 inWon+$35346464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No68c500$340 inWon+$1609767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…0cecbacked Yes32c313.13$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost-$10031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No65c262.31$171 inWon+$91.8114579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c184.97$140 inWon+$45.242,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No76c129.17$98 inWon+$30.7537971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost-$3011560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c60$41 inWon+$19.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No72c55.61$40 inWon+$15.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes28c52.04$15 inLost-$14.571,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285c…3ac1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost-$102317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-68%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No72c30.76$22 inWon+$8.612,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54a…df26backed No80c29.99$24 inWon+$6.11163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No70c26.28$18 inWon+$7.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.978170.4%57 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No66c24.91$17 inWon+$8.3519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No73c13.71$10 inWon+$3.6519064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.