Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d71679709765b0fa593e40dff20ccd8f4164cf46085a530dbff64f435507f65

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	73c	2,460$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.7	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes	49c	2,047$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.05	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	53c	1,189$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.3	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No	71c	1,164$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	69c	1,053$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.41	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	70c	937.98$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.88	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	70c	908.4$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.88	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	69c	903.03$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.69	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	18c	881.5$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.13	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	71c	723.49$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.68	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	71c	524.76$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.58	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	25c	516.22$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.22	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed Yes	27c	489.8$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.8	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	33cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	28c	482$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.52	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	69c	477.42$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.42	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No	72c	430$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.6	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	71c	379.31$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.31	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed No	19c	362.94$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.96	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+7.3wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+149.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f5b…a891backed Yes	27c	360.64$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	71c	355.28$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.5	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.83	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.83	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.83	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	23c	337.48$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.46	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	30c	331.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.42	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	69c	325.81$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.81	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes	31c	310$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.9	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes	31c	281.77$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.92	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…f52cbacked Yes	31c	225.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+222.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	56c	222.18$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.23	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked No	23c	214.73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed No	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	138	13%18 W · 120 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	69c	199.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.99	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No	72c	175$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.41	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	79c	150$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.42	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.93	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Yes	31c	112.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.9	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	72c	110$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	30c	103.33$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.33	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	30c	103.33$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.33	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No	71c	99.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	75c	87.23$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.39	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…0c24backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.21	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c90…2f6bbacked Yes	31c	71.29$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.29	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes	31c	68.03$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.94	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…3c36backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…fc85backed Yes	30c	63.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked No	19c	55.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	92	21.7%20 W · 72 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	67c	53.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.94	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b0…4758backed Yes	29c	51.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf337…0b7dbacked Yes	33c	51.52$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bf…81dbbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	100	40%40 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea59…f29dbacked Yes	28c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+55%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	133	28.6%38 W · 95 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes	29c	48.28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.28	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	70c	42.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.94	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	70c	36.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466d…ffb1backed Yes	31c	32.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No	73c	28.43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes	69c	20.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.45	132	68.2%90 W · 42 L	+20.0wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed No	72c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsthis page
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsYes won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shotsYes won
Eberechi Eze: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goalsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shotsYes won
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
Ollie Watkins: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event