Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b577c633b9b69a8a51b319ab5b57d3bb5e2c8f879fd5d9b0b03b2c00f9734e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 23c | 14,198$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 7,500$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 77c | 1,877$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 76c | 1,604$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 77c | 1,442$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 23c | 1,074$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 79c | 1,057$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 79c | 1,011$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…1cefbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 79c | 699.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 74c | 590$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 557.76$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 22c | 330$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 80c | 288.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 68c | 285.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 21c | 274.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 186$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 120.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 20c | 119.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 109.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…fc89backed No | 78c | 69.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 79c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed No | 79c | 49.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 78c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 1+ assiststhis page
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsYes won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ shotsYes won
- Eberechi Eze: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.