Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538f429772ce2fb714616ad8c31c7da674a87dabeb3be43cd3514bb98e708123

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc922…2618backed No	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes	35c	2,800$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	66c	2,732$1,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.01	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	72c	2,099$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.79	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	37c	1,522$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.21	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes	37c	1,490$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.41	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	63c	1,478$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.86	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	63c	1,250$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.5	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Yes	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No	65c	819.95$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.55	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	66c	783.01$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.22	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes	34c	735.29$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No	65c	485.38$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.88	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1b…6399backed Yes	31c	483.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	28c	460.78$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes	34c	450$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	202	24.8%50 W · 152 L	-15.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	66c	303.12$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.55	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	26c	273.05$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.55	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	16c	255.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.24	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	28c	194.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.21	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	68c	169.97$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes	35c	142.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	68c	133.63$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.25	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…4b94backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43df…e6e9backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	66c	106.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.84	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd7c…ddb4backed Yes	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	26c	71.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes	15c	67.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…cf4cbacked Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	66c	63.27$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.51	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	33c	61.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9b…fc85backed Yes	32c	59.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	69c	57.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	72c	55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	71c	55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Yes	39c	50.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes	40c	50.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe54a…df26backed No	68c	50.09$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.03	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	74cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	69c	46.78$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.31	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	71c	45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8129…b008backed Yes	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	74c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.42	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes	34c	32.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	175	42.9%75 W · 100 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fa…f6dbbacked No	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No	71c	19.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.82	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	67c	15.15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsthis page
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsYes won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shotsYes won
Eberechi Eze: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goalsNo won
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shotsYes won
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goalsNo won
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
Ollie Watkins: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event