TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes21c1,995$416 inLost-$416.2516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No79c1,722$1,360 inWon+$361.619148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes21c277$58 inLost-$57.632,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes19c257.37$49 inLost-$48.919713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No79c156.55$123 inWon+$33.4432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost-$2716418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c88$70 inWon+$17.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No77c75.32$58 inWon+$17.326584.6%55 W · 10 L+11.4wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No75c66$50 inWon+$16.534357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No76c55$42 inWon+$13.2582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No73c54.13$40 inWon+$14.626671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd8…f0f7backed Yes27c52.78$14 inLost-$14.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed No80c50$40 inWon+$1032959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes25c50$12 inLost-$12.3513140.5%53 W · 78 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No73c45$33 inWon+$12.1528873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No77c43.09$33 inWon+$10.132,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c42$11 inLost-$11.342,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes28c40$11 inLost-$11.21,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c30.97$24 inWon+$7.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No76c17.5$13 inWon+$4.247049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No77c15.5$12 inWon+$3.5118053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No78c14.42$11 inWon+$3.2145472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.