TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes29c1,031$300 inWon+$730.6527820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No71c884.39$627 inLost-$627.0831171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No74c877.66$649 inLost-$649.476261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes26c710.97$185 inWon+$526.1216546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes29c347.02$100 inWon+$247.029530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c320$86 inWon+$234.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No15c245.64$36 inLost-$36.352,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No72c209.92$151 inLost-$151.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No72c195.46$141 inLost-$140.6414763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No72c159$114 inLost-$114.485969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No71c92$66 inLost-$65.592,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No71c90$64 inLost-$63.928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c79.46$20 inWon+$59.461,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon+$36.7234526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No75c40$30 inLost-$302,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No78c29.88$23 inLost-$23.2437971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No70c17.13$12 inLost-$11.9977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed No76c16$12 inLost-$12.168149.4%40 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No72c14$10 inLost-$10.013,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.