Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba209626425b8d5557a3005b57d01a93257f2006e36adfdd93e712c02afd307c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 64c | 14,370$9,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,196.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 36c | 11,915$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 39c | 3,225$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 3,102$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 2,930$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,536$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.02 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed No | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 2,194$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.72 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,017$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 62c | 977.2$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.86 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Yes | 33c | 727.12$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 61c | 669.1$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 636.62$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 537.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 386.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 336.54$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…9ad2backed No | 29c | 199.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 195.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 187.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 61c | 156.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 118.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 90.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 84.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 61c | 77.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 73.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 36c | 69.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 65c | 68.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 32c | 59.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 61c | 58.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 33c | 58.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 61c | 56.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked No | 73c | 49.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 64c | 48.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Yes | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 37c | 46.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 37c | 46.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 37c | 46.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 46.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 44.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 68c | 43.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Yes | 48c | 38.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…ce84backed Yes | 63c | 38.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 37c | 37.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 67c | 31.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 37c | 27.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…f596backed Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 72c | 23.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 19.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 68c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 16.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.