Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa485c3f41725e50d5157fc86ebfb263f58aae7c9ace93055637c45e2e5de8761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 26c | 12,385$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 74c | 8,094$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,511$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.17 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,207$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 999.95$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 704.15$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 26c | 391.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 199.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 170.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 27c | 141.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 137$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 111.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 102.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 87.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 74.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 73.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 75c | 67.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 66.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 75c | 52.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 47.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 44.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 79c | 42.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 74c | 39.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 74c | 24.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.