TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Banditsof Senshi Esports Club, The Bandits
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74f5…b1c6backed The Bandits76c5,793$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.114774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Senshi Esports Club2c3,900$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879115.4%14 W · 77 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Senshi Esports Club2c3,900$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Senshi Esports Club2c2,300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Senshi Esports Club2c2,300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45350%0 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Senshi Esports Club45c1,950$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.821,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Senshi Esports Club2c1,900$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+149.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Senshi Esports Club2c1,900$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Senshi Esports Club47c1,818$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Senshi Esports Club25c1,626$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9219743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Senshi Esports Club2c1,530$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.917610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Senshi Esports Club44c1,497$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2724741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed The Bandits55c1,426$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.0782554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Senshi Esports Club30c1,291$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1946841.7%195 W · 273 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Senshi Esports Club19c1,252$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.422,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Senshi Esports Club2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Senshi Esports Club41c1,122$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.411,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked The Bandits54c1,082$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6333838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Senshi Esports Club21c1,030$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.967931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Senshi Esports Club2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick1cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Senshi Esports Club3c960.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61095.5%6 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Senshi Esports Club3c950$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f0…b3f1backed The Bandits56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.491080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed The Bandits53c845.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6843837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Senshi Esports Club4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30621.6%1 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Senshi Esports Club4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed The Bandits57c688.2$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.121,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed The Bandits61c667.49$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+87.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Senshi Esports Club3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182817.9%5 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick5cpaid+67.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Senshi Esports Club3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183010%3 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Senshi Esports Club27c574.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.614231%44 W · 98 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked The Bandits59c566.75$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.322336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Senshi Esports Club41c524.98$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8832542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed The Bandits60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004126.8%11 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Senshi Esports Club2c480$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61421.4%3 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+72.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senshi Esports Club40c439.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6843442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked The Bandits63c381.31$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.062,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Senshi Esports Club33c372.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8921753.9%117 W · 100 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed The Bandits58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14756650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Senshi Esports Club8c339$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.755322.6%12 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Senshi Esports Club44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13364749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Senshi Esports Club16c266$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0620836.1%75 W · 133 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Senshi Esports Club16c266$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0634235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed The Bandits57c261.31$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3641133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Senshi Esports Club44c253.62$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5992450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Senshi Esports Club39c245.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.363145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+60.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senshi Esports Club22c235$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x636a…ec94backed The Bandits73c228.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed The Bandits57c227.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0222536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Senshi Esports Club40c219.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8424445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Senshi Esports Club46c218.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2427248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Senshi Esports Club16c208$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6849739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Senshi Esports Club17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Senshi Esports Club17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3438743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Senshi Esports Club17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Senshi Esports Club17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3425340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Senshi Esports Club47c196.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5218254.9%100 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed The Bandits72c187.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.541,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Senshi Esports Club26c182.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed The Bandits56c161.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0837647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed The Bandits56c152.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed The Bandits52c142.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.762,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Senshi Esports Club35c137.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0562739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Senshi Esports Club16c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5343040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Senshi Esports Club16c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5360738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Senshi Esports Club16c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5359740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Senshi Esports Club16c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5372637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed The Bandits77c132.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Senshi Esports Club29c126.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.113126%34 W · 97 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed The Bandits58c117.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.624450%22 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Senshi Esports Club38c114.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3321451.4%110 W · 104 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Senshi Esports Club48c106.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed Senshi Esports Club22c106$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.846547.7%31 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked The Bandits59c101.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.525764.2%165 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked The Bandits56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4463646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Senshi Esports Club17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Senshi Esports Club51c95.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5342847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Senshi Esports Club29c93.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2534834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Senshi Esports Club35c90.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6184041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed The Bandits57c90.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1432650%163 W · 163 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed The Bandits54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.427733.8%26 W · 51 L-10.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked The Bandits57c87.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4820826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed The Bandits55c81.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Senshi Esports Club25c81.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed The Bandits57c75.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092737%10 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Senshi Esports Club46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.122429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Senshi Esports Club43c69.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed The Bandits67c62.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6920764.7%134 W · 73 L+24.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Bandits72c60.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked The Bandits60c59.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7439044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Senshi Esports Club36c57.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.649376.3%71 W · 22 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Senshi Esports Club22c54.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.273,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed The Bandits59c54.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5675150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Senshi Esports Club53c54.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1619759.4%117 W · 80 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2467…6878backed Senshi Esports Club55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed The Bandits76c49.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9515166.2%100 W · 51 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Senshi Esports Club45c48.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7616549.7%82 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Senshi Esports Club44c46.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.434327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked The Bandits56c45.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8915536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Senshi Esports Club33c44.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.730246%139 W · 163 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.