Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d22407f0c0aa920e88eb25e6e658b295d556fb522f2418bbfab4cdc796642c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 59c | 43,498$25,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,625.44 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 19,307$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.82 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 41c | 15,073$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Over | 60c | 9,977$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 4,588$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Under | 40c | 2,461$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 2,226$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 41c | 2,035$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.23 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…44d0backed Under | 40c | 1,349$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 1,215$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 1,075$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 40c | 1,067$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.81 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 41c | 676.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 41c | 654$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 40c | 497.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 40c | 439.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 60c | 335.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 42c | 299.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 70c | 286.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 280.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 38c | 196.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 41c | 170.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 41c | 121.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed Over | 67c | 101.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Over | 59c | 100.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…e78cbacked Under | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…5670backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 40c | 50.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 61c | 49.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Over | 61c | 39.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 41c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 40c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 41c | 36.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 35c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…26fbbacked Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 59c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 138.5this page
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-2.5)UNC Asheville Bulldogs won
- UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate SpartansUNC Asheville Bulldogs won
- UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 140.5Over won
- UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.