Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb52423ee3378b90a8db241b2cacbaff8e3c029df8ba0e09664f0ffc3f35f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Bucknell Bison, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked Lafayette Leopards | 60c | 12,700$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed Bucknell Bison | 40c | 12,700$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 48c | 2,398$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 2,021$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.37 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucknell Bison | 47c | 1,542$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison | 37c | 1,154$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lafayette Leopards | 51c | 1,004$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucknell Bison | 69c | 648.17$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 559.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Lafayette Leopards | 40c | 498.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 496.88$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 494$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 464.07$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lafayette Leopards | 35c | 445.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lafayette Leopards | 63c | 445$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 438.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards | 49c | 340.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lafayette Leopards | 48c | 315.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 313.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Bucknell Bison | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucknell Bison | 42c | 286.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lafayette Leopards | 41c | 278.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 258$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Bucknell Bison | 57c | 193.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucknell Bison | 37c | 192$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucknell Bison | 64c | 155.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 63c | 151.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Lafayette Leopards | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucknell Bison | 60c | 104.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Bucknell Bison | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Bucknell Bison | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Bucknell Bison | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bucknell Bison | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 93.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 92.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lafayette Leopards | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lafayette Leopards | 63c | 79.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 39c | 79.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bucknell Bison | 27c | 71.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 69.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Bucknell Bison | 34c | 68.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 68.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 67.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucknell Bison | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lafayette Leopards | 36c | 59.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…5af8backed Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Bucknell Bison | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bucknell Bison | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bucknell Bison | 38c | 49.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison | 40c | 42.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucknell Bison | 36c | 41.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Lafayette Leopards | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…b66cbacked Bucknell Bison | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucknell Bison | 47c | 34.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Bucknell Bison | 51c | 34.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Bucknell Bison | 37c | 32.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Bucknell Bison | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopardsthis page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 136.5Over won
- Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-3.5)Bucknell Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.