Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759ed8603141c6e765a8a675c5e50ef9606a9161a7ea2d7909cabad88d6d25ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 638,007$338,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338,143.04 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 367,413$172,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,404.17 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 295,639$159,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,579.46 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 46c | 79,381$36,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,867.77 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 30,064$14,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,934.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 20,000$9,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,740 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 12,401$6,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.71 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 46c | 10,012$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 46c | 2,670$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,113$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 47c | 1,762$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.69 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 46c | 1,584$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 46c | 1,549$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 53c | 945.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 925.43$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 46c | 620.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 429.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 49c | 377.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 46c | 291.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 55c | 251.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 54c | 222.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 190.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 49c | 145.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 139$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 58c | 103.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 53c | 59.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 59.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 42c | 43.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Over | 55c | 32.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 48c | 29.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5this page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven ChargersMercyhurst Lakers won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 122.5Under won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 123.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.