MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576b920c49e8e188c486d2492b32262408277224a71a94b9d2273b646ea25b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 59c | 74,557$44,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,146.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Athletics | 40c | 39,427$15,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,656.07 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 56c | 13,325$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.71 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Athletics | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.76 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 40c | 9,876$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 61c | 9,766$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.26 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 61c | 8,610$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 40c | 8,129$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.58 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 40c | 7,961$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.02 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 41c | 7,152$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Athletics | 40c | 6,245$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.92 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 46c | 5,754$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Athletics | 40c | 5,126$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.99 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 61c | 4,883$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.63 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 54c | 4,060$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.33 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 24c | 3,753$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.82 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,549$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Athletics | 44c | 3,465$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.05 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 59c | 3,214$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Athletics | 40c | 2,503$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.53 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 57c | 1,714$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.57 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,500$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 53c | 1,390$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.56 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,378$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.4 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,357$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.98 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Athletics | 61c | 1,321$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.24 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 59c | 1,261$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.47 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 62c | 1,084$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 52c | 992.13$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Athletics | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed New York Mets | 51c | 973.52$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 41c | 947.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.07 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Athletics | 50c | 927.91$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 53c | 901.19$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 45c | 860.27$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed New York Mets | 58c | 851.06$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.41 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked New York Mets | 61c | 815.32$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.75 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…77b6backed New York Mets | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 46c | 787.36$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Athletics | 39c | 769.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.22 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 40c | 765.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.21 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Mets | 44c | 645.62$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 60c | 581.17$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed New York Mets | 37c | 577.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 58c | 571.54$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked New York Mets | 35c | 548.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Mets | 44c | 459.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Mets | 59c | 451.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.68 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed New York Mets | 34c | 446.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 51c | 424.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Athletics | 55c | 421.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed New York Mets | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed New York Mets | 37c | 384.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked New York Mets | 46c | 358.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Athletics | 48c | 293.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Athletics | 55c | 290.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Athletics | 38c | 287.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 282.24$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…ca33backed New York Mets | 61c | 276.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed New York Mets | 42c | 273.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…c33fbacked Athletics | 40c | 272.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 36c | 258.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 39c | 244.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Athletics | 68c | 231.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Athletics | 68c | 231.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Athletics | 56c | 228.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed New York Mets | 48c | 223.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Athletics | 69c | 217.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Athletics | 78c | 217.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Athletics | 67c | 206.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Athletics | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Mets | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed New York Mets | 50c | 195.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Athletics | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Athletics | 47c | 192.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked New York Mets | 17c | 190.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 59c | 184.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 56c | 182.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Athletics | 52c | 170.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Athletics | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed New York Mets | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed New York Mets | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 40c | 155.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 39c | 154$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Athletics | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked New York Mets | 61c | 148.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed New York Mets | 44c | 144.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Athletics | 39c | 144.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Athletics | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed New York Mets | 61c | 137.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed New York Mets | 61c | 137.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. New York Metsthis page
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.