TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Over55c23,836$13,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,762.872458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c12,531$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,605.961,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c9,958$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.042,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over52c8,844$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.851,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e27…ac7bbacked Under49c6,200$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…3494backed Over51c5,850$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c5,068$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.271,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0376…ca32backed Under49c4,150$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003a…ff7cbacked Over51c2,850$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under8c2,820$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,413$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,999$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.62,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a5…b8c4backed Over51c1,650$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under44c1,580$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.236038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under44c1,467$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c975.99$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.841,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over73c802.57$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4242254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30831848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c549$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under44c523.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c466.68$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c443.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffa…92e2backed Over55c438.07$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under46c395$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2912943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808347%39 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over79c315$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Over61c296.97$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9712545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under21c287.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3213437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under38c252.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.353,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under45c243.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7526243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b1…5327backed Under45c233.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b1…d8eebacked Under45c232.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21f…f241backed Under45c231.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19f…4462backed Under45c229.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c9…d82dbacked Under45c228.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x102a…1ae9backed Under45c227.07$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b5…cb74backed Under46c217.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Under45c214.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba98…382cbacked Over55c190.14$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…2dc6backed Over55c185.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa8…373fbacked Over55c184.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78eb…7f35backed Over55c184.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…bc81backed Over55c184.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over55c180.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.479159.3%54 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Under44c148.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.362556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under46c137.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.057659.2%45 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under46c101.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.755763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over64c99.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7211153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8604…cb8fbacked Under51c94.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5916158.4%94 W · 67 L+12.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c86.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1271…a720backed Over55c86.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b1…899dbacked Over55c85.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Over54c85.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Under35c84.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.522466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under46c67.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.054445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c62.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2769653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c56.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2434653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2eb…477cbacked Under36c56.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b62…9555backed Under45c55.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…d61bbacked Over52c48.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857f…96ecbacked Over52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea3…9439backed Over54c44.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.553562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014542.8%62 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under46c42.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7878038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over54c41.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.282958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over54c41.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0518551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under46c40.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7213554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under45c39.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992114.3%3 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x24c2…2a6dbacked Over56c37.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.365653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.515155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c27.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.425742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under46c25.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.932450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c25.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under45c24.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under45c23.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4215447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.