Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0d6b9b9827c4338fe97d126c2e50726ff0e429d11b963103d1e8bb74e75419

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gironof Muller, Giron
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc323…0171backed Muller	26c	11,596$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	312	53.2%166 W · 146 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Muller	20c	7,789$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.66	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Giron	77c	6,708$5,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.91	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Muller	1c	6,221$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.38	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Giron	53c	5,378$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,527.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Muller	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.96	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Muller	17c	3,905$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.53	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron	74c	3,508$2,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.17	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Giron	73c	3,447$2,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.65	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giron	70c	3,299$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.45	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Giron	54c	2,946$1,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.32	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Muller	23c	2,484$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.99	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Muller	16c	2,388$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	625	45.4%284 W · 341 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Giron	54c	2,161$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.11	284	44.7%127 W · 157 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Muller	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	326	37.4%122 W · 204 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Muller	62c	1,555$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.09	156	65.4%102 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Giron	56c	1,363$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.58	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Muller	30c	1,175$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.55	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Muller	47c	1,171$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.09	551	43.4%239 W · 312 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Giron	53c	1,118$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.51	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Muller	47c	1,085$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	781	52.8%412 W · 369 L	+21.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Muller	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Muller	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	819	38.9%319 W · 500 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Muller	42c	816.73$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.32	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Giron	54c	802.99$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.38	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked Giron	54c	740.05$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.05	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	65cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Muller	18c	655.54$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.01	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Giron	74c	638.66$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.03	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Muller	47c	567$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.49	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Muller	46c	499.99$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	576	45.5%262 W · 314 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Muller	11c	445.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	580	21.9%127 W · 453 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Giron	78c	435.11$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d59…ffa8backed Muller	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Muller	44c	373.61$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.71	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Muller	33c	368.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muller	20c	365.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Giron	53c	338.96$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.78	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Muller	63c	328.09$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.7	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Muller	46c	325.69$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.56	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Muller	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb6…d759backed Muller	10c	309.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Muller	7c	305.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Muller	17c	300$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	44.6%83 W · 103 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Giron	43c	280.59$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.3	102	52%53 W · 49 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Muller	47c	267$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Muller	43c	263$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.09	421	41.8%176 W · 245 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Muller	46c	263$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.89	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Muller	47c	255.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	434	48.4%210 W · 224 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…85b5backed Giron	40c	248.66$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.63	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Giron	58c	241.05$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.53	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Giron	75c	239.72$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.15	222	36.9%82 W · 140 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Muller	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	316	43%136 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Muller	47c	223.13$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.87	244	48.8%119 W · 125 L	+17.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Giron	54c	213.31$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.12	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Muller	29c	205.23$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.69	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa218…b0afbacked Muller	23c	201.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Muller	26c	199.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Muller	20c	171.25$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…feb6backed Giron	57c	168.42$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.42	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Muller	46c	161.13$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	884	46.8%414 W · 470 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Muller	32c	160.41$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	123	13.8%17 W · 106 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Muller	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed Muller	34c	149.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Giron	61c	147.85$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.98	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Muller	27c	141.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	288	33.3%96 W · 192 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…4fcabacked Giron	57c	140.53$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.53	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Muller	61c	125$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+29%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Muller	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	348	42.2%147 W · 201 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Muller	47c	119.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	174	32.2%56 W · 118 L	-15.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Muller	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Muller	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	341	54.3%185 W · 156 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Muller	47c	95.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Giron	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.2wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Muller	24c	87.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86ea…c5bfbacked Muller	15c	85.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Giron	39c	78.23$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.72	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Muller	16c	76.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4291…b6bdbacked Muller	46c	65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b8…8d54backed Muller	16c	62.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Muller	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	389	47.3%184 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Muller	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	108	22.2%24 W · 84 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Giron	56c	59.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.29	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Muller	59c	55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giron	37c	53.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Muller	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Muller	24c	48.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	4,426	51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L	+136.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Giron	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Giron	65c	46.23$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.23	1,639	55.1%903 W · 736 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Muller	44c	45.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	63cpaid	-38%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf47…4d00backed Giron	76c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e80…56c5backed Muller	47c	42.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Muller	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	684	30%205 W · 479 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Muller	45c	39.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…3750backed Muller	44c	38.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c66…8275backed Muller	55c	36.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Muller	41c	33.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	107	55.1%59 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ae…1464backed Muller	46c	32.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…70e3backed Muller	64c	31.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Muller	47c	30.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Giron	79c	28.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.96	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Gironthis page
Muller vs. Giron: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Muller vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Muller vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Muller vs. Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)Giron won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event