Earnings · resolved market
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffe2ac968bebd674b4dd91cbef3141483ac2b67f49f5d75547839320d4a8136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 10c | 801.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed No | 13c | 618.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +170%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 5c | 533.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.02 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked No | 16c | 368$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 20c | 324.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 23c | 314.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…b05abacked No | 21c | 312.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed No | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…ad18backed No | 18c | 279.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +309.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 8c | 229.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 9c | 222$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed No | 12c | 212.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed No | 25c | 196.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed No | 19c | 188.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…d642backed Yes | 72c | 178.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 17c | 174.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…3f0fbacked No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b3cbbacked Yes | 79c | 148$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 145$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 74c | 135.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 8c | 133.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…21cdbacked No | 24c | 132.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…1eb7backed Yes | 79c | 127.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 78c | 127.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5ebdbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 26c | 123.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…44dcbacked No | 10c | 111.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +647.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed No | 21c | 109$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 20c | 99.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed No | 23c | 85.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…cd3dbacked Yes | 76c | 69.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…8b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…9e46backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…290abacked No | 25c | 47.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…21f7backed Yes | 75c | 46.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed Yes | 77c | 34.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed Yes | 73c | 34.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…b432backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed Yes | 62c | 27.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 68c | 26.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…c5c5backed Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0df…2c80backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.