Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9383a63d6e71bed32272950036d1f586cbbd63839a82efef9debeca508e31d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $463,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GamerLegion | 23c | 94,415$21,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,957.27 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 73c | 88,022$64,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,814.31 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GamerLegion | 27c | 80,046$21,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,612.43 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Iron Wing | 75c | 16,018$12,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked GamerLegion | 2c | 14,400$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 13,558$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.81 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Iron Wing | 77c | 11,376$8,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Iron Wing | 71c | 11,056$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 74c | 9,779$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.55 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Iron Wing | 76c | 6,257$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.6 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Iron Wing | 76c | 5,408$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.41 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed GamerLegion | 26c | 5,000$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.88 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Iron Wing | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Iron Wing | 74c | 4,753$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.75 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Iron Wing | 75c | 4,700$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Iron Wing | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 3,910$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.26 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 3,817$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Iron Wing | 73c | 3,562$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.64 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked GamerLegion | 28c | 3,274$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.71 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed GamerLegion | 14c | 3,000$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.19 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Iron Wing | 77c | 2,886$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.84 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed GamerLegion | 1c | 2,663$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GamerLegion | 26c | 2,520$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GamerLegion | 27c | 2,399$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.62 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Iron Wing | 73c | 2,387$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Iron Wing | 73c | 2,160$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed GamerLegion | 1c | 2,107$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Iron Wing | 73c | 2,050$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed GamerLegion | 12c | 2,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.51 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 1,870$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.83 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Iron Wing | 74c | 1,606$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed GamerLegion | 28c | 1,368$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Iron Wing | 74c | 1,345$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.9 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed GamerLegion | 11c | 1,219$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,163$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,147$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 72c | 1,068$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Iron Wing | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Iron Wing | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Iron Wing | 74c | 971.16$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Iron Wing | 73c | 928.04$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Iron Wing | 75c | 922.65$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed GamerLegion | 25c | 904.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed GamerLegion | 3c | 888$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 855.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed GamerLegion | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked GamerLegion | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 26c | 761.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked GamerLegion | 28c | 749.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Iron Wing | 73c | 699.99$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GamerLegion | 28c | 629$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GamerLegion | 24c | 619.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Iron Wing | 73c | 613.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Iron Wing | 74c | 603.05$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 598.53$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Iron Wing | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 526.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Iron Wing | 73c | 499.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 496.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed GamerLegion | 3c | 491.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 484.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 483.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Iron Wing | 74c | 480$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed Iron Wing | 73c | 426.66$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Iron Wing | 74c | 393.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked GamerLegion | 26c | 383.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked GamerLegion | 5c | 380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Iron Wing | 80c | 371.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed GamerLegion | 28c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Iron Wing | 75c | 329.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Iron Wing | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…4774backed Iron Wing | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…1ce5backed Iron Wing | 74c | 290.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Iron Wing | 78c | 288.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed GamerLegion | 15c | 285.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed GamerLegion | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GamerLegion | 14c | 265.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed GamerLegion | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Iron Wing | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Iron Wing | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed GamerLegion | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Iron Wing | 74c | 197$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Iron Wing | 78c | 193.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…ce65backed Iron Wing | 78c | 191.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Iron Wing | 74c | 190.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Iron Wing | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed GamerLegion | 16c | 186.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed GamerLegion | 25c | 185.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed GamerLegion | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Iron Wing | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerIron Wing won
- Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.