Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02f86d6e5db4e58b205af2e1d90ad6ea3800924d02d889d629b7d677186cc3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GamerLegion | 18c | 56,129$10,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,363.7 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GamerLegion | 19c | 23,672$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.2 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked GamerLegion | 4c | 22,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 13,166$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.18 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Iron Wing | 80c | 10,840$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked GamerLegion | 3c | 10,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 5,100$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.02 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 18c | 4,700$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed GamerLegion | 18c | 3,674$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.66 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed GamerLegion | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 2,777$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed GamerLegion | 2c | 2,259$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed GamerLegion | 1c | 2,014$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GamerLegion | 19c | 1,836$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Iron Wing | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 1,497$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed GamerLegion | 18c | 1,361$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.01 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 952.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GamerLegion | 20c | 947.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 915.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Iron Wing | 79c | 812.94$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked GamerLegion | 18c | 799.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked GamerLegion | 17c | 742.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 19c | 702$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 690.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 80c | 622$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GamerLegion | 18c | 549.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked GamerLegion | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed Iron Wing | 73c | 500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GamerLegion | 18c | 469.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1d…4af9backed GamerLegion | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 449.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed GamerLegion | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 420$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…7881backed GamerLegion | 19c | 414.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed GamerLegion | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed GamerLegion | 18c | 388.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed GamerLegion | 18c | 377$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GamerLegion | 15c | 363.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed GamerLegion | 18c | 324.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Iron Wing | 77c | 299.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed GamerLegion | 7c | 290.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…9fc5backed GamerLegion | 19c | 274.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed GamerLegion | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GamerLegion | 20c | 246.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 18c | 238.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion | 8c | 222.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked GamerLegion | 19c | 220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 18c | 215.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…521ebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 200.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed GamerLegion | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked GamerLegion | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed GamerLegion | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 191.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed GamerLegion | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…23eebacked GamerLegion | 19c | 163.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…6f9cbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 143.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed GamerLegion | 19c | 131.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked GamerLegion | 16c | 119.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GamerLegion | 18c | 119.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 117.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked GamerLegion | 26c | 114.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed GamerLegion | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…15afbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 107.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked GamerLegion | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…fa26backed GamerLegion | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed GamerLegion | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed GamerLegion | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed GamerLegion | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed GamerLegion | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed GamerLegion | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 90.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…bd22backed Iron Wing | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…3e39backed GamerLegion | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed GamerLegion | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed GamerLegion | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerIron Wing won
- Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.