Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf4cd3d7c67a0606c2fc91fe571f973715203bfa85f201ec68bc6432379a140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 282.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 260.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 226.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 6c | 214.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 66c | 201.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 23c | 197.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 57c | 193.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 190.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 59c | 189.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 41c | 179.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 56c | 176.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 57c | 175.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 38c | 149.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 20c | 126.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 124.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 62c | 105.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 60c | 101$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 61c | 89.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 57c | 86.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 26c | 80.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed Yes | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 58c | 73.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 62.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 53c | 60.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 37c | 56.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 46c | 55.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Yes | 38c | 52.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 56c | 51.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 44c | 50.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 42c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…df1ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 38c | 46.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4fc6backed Yes | 64c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 58c | 46.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 39c | 44.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 57c | 44.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…ee85backed Yes | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 46c | 40.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 44c | 39.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 38.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…4a71backed Yes | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 30.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 68c | 30.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…15c9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 58c | 26.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…4801backed No | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…2103backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…b1b2backed No | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 58c | 24.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 24.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 56c | 23.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…a3b6backed No | 56c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 56c | 20.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…5749backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 70c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8584backed Yes | 70c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 57c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…5c9cbacked Yes | 65c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 16.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…ae8abacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.