MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5118e6e1365bc458998c38b6914d5299a70881cdb7f9b2b8749f2d305fd5603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 128,301$68,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,351.63 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 32,904$12,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,785.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 27,450$12,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 23,261$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 22,927$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 22,175$15,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 14,554$7,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 13,723$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 11,862$6,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,804.66 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,865$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 8,758$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 8,126$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 8,000$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 6,408$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 6,371$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.59 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 5,627$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,836$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.55 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,517$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.72 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 3,459$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.64 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,547$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.17 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,006$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.76 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,700$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,293$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,114$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,058$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.49 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,004$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 997$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 972.16$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 944.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 820.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 819.1$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 814.54$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.45 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 755$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 702.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 679.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.61 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 658.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.82 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 625.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 599.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 599.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 575.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 560$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 497.38$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 473.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 467.59$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 460.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 452.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 440$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 438.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 433$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 428.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.45 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 418.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 400.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 376.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 365.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 351.86$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 346$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 334.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 330.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 302.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 299.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 299.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 278.3$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 274.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 257.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 255.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 235.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 232.02$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 220$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 203$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 202.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 201.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 197.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.