MLB · resolved market

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a8ce24c058eac7a552f8ccd73c0b3233a3ffc265d9abc107e8bef4888db065

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles	36c	84,444$30,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,044.15	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	34,191$21,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,881.45	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	12,360$7,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,910.4	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	7,076$4,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,517.24	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Baltimore Orioles	35c	6,754$2,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,390.31	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	6,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	4,833$3,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,093	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	4,500$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	2,611$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.22	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	2,325$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.31	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	1,975$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.15	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	1,903$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.05	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	1,600$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	1,508$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.12	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	1,146$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.62	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	1,146$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.62	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	901.4$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.9	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	900.88$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.23	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	815.12$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.83	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	806.65$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.67	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	702.96$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.92	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	693.15$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.55	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	46c	633.56$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.35	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles	68c	499$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.18	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	461.31$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.85	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	450$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Tampa Bay Rays	63c	361.64$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.42	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles	33c	356$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.52	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	344.23$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.75	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Tampa Bay Rays	32c	334.18$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.98	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	284.46$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.03	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	283$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.95	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	203$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.92	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Baltimore Orioles	19c	170.44$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.64	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	155.35$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	76c	154.1$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	146.47$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.74	473	50.7%240 W · 233 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	36c	131$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.84	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	29c	124.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	587	46%270 W · 317 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	120$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	114.2$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.23	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles	36c	109$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.76	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	106.75$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.32	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles	36c	103.36$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.15	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Tampa Bay Rays	73c	99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.92	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays	74c	86.94$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.34	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	78.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	78.12$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	78.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	78.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Tampa Bay Rays	25c	75.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	380	53.2%202 W · 178 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	67.18$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.76	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays	28c	66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.96	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	76c	64$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	61.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	466	59.7%278 W · 188 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Baltimore Orioles	35c	57.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.18	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Baltimore Orioles	38c	54.85$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	54.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.16	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb59…6552backed Baltimore Orioles	37c	52.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.16	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	46.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2636…8699backed Tampa Bay Rays	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	43.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	63c	41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	35.75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	305	54.4%166 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Baltimore Orioles	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d68…580abacked Tampa Bay Rays	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Baltimore Orioles	36c	29.97$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.18	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles	69c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	28.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	27.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	289	48.1%139 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc020…5edbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	24.24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	229	54.6%125 W · 104 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8599…ad67backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	24.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…6307backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	23.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	23.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	516	56.6%292 W · 224 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	22.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays	63c	22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays	67c	21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e6…b490backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	19.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd9…2c1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	74c	14.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	74cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)this page
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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