MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53b4a5e69819c4a1c2edd7daef472d194a4e0a3fe26b9a4f38c9bc8339ce10c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof St. Louis Cardinals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 87,986$35,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,194.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 58,557$32,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,876.46 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 57,636$34,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,630.87 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 51,778$31,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,711.26 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 39,244$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.6 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 31,545$24,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 30,163$12,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,065.05 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 16,500$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 14,600$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 9,941$7,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 8,980$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.83 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 8,500$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 6,670$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.5 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 6,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…1fadbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,902$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 5,364$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 4,091$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.9 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,821$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 3,490$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,464$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 3,194$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 3,022$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.94 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 2,818$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,816$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.67 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,301$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.37 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,105$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.16 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 1,870$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,552$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.94 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 1,526$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,359$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,187$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 999$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 963.45$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 776$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 688.75$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 629$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 457.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 451.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 399.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 380.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 372.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 371.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 368.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 336.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 336.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 301.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 281.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 271.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 261.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 252.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 238.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 214.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 209.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 196.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 175.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 166.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 161.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 160.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 160.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1fa5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…57a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 142.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 138.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 133.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 133$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 128.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 120.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 120.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 114.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…e0acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.