MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecc81013a1683ce77f39377934cd391417f34d18d64fdc8dc5c1c2bb6d49d0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 164,063$77,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,224.38 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 42,445$22,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,495.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 52c | 39,494$20,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,537 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 12,756$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Houston Astros | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Houston Astros | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 36c | 9,018$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 53c | 8,849$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 29c | 7,623$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Houston Astros | 52c | 7,240$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.8 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 64c | 6,928$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Houston Astros | 15c | 6,395$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,759$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 52c | 4,210$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 3,529$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.27 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 3,451$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.67 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,483$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 2,464$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 2,419$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.94 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,542$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.05 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Houston Astros | 7c | 1,250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,234$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 1,233$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.44 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,169$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.68 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,004$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 53c | 678$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 52c | 599$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 590.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 583.76$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 575.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 565$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 52c | 522$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 513.51$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 479.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 467.96$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 444$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 20c | 398.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 376$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 32c | 373.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 373$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 364.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 25c | 361.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 27c | 335.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 326.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 315.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 306$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Houston Astros | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Houston Astros | 13c | 299$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 298$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Houston Astros | 25c | 268.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 249$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Houston Astros | 8c | 248.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 236.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 53c | 231.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 209.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 181.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 179.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 179.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Houston Astros | 15c | 170.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 157.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Houston Astros | 63c | 157.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 142$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 139.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Houston Astros | 42c | 128.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Houston Astros | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 123.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 122.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Houston Astros | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Houston Astros | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…a53bbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Houston Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Houston Astros | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.