NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ef5ad262eb09709943d6857cfbee0dc1ea9e97bdb4377f6038e656e610470b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 68c | 13,218$9,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.04 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Thunder | 80c | 10,363$8,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.45 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nuggets | 24c | 5,300$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.2 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Thunder | 73c | 4,390$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.43 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 16c | 4,000$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,717$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 26c | 3,654$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.91 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874c…1886backed Thunder | 1c | 3,295$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed Thunder | 64c | 2,724$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 58c | 2,619$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.94 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Nuggets | 16c | 1,585$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.77 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 2c | 1,526$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Nuggets | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Nuggets | 13c | 1,002$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.04 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…4ca4backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Thunder | 79c | 999.99$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Thunder | 17c | 993.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Thunder | 74c | 921.15$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Nuggets | 36c | 915.09$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.75 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…af46backed Thunder | 64c | 855.48$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Nuggets | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Thunder | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 19c | 729.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.86 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Thunder | 73c | 689.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…8135backed Nuggets | 20c | 645.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Nuggets | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Thunder | 72c | 601.86$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Nuggets | 30c | 601.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Thunder | 70c | 601.07$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 17c | 599.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Nuggets | 51c | 493.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Thunder | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Nuggets | 40c | 400$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe370…85a2backed Thunder | 25c | 379.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Thunder | 59c | 370.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…2705backed Nuggets | 30c | 336.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…791abacked Nuggets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Thunder | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Thunder | 24c | 316.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…3be1backed Nuggets | 18c | 293.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…7d82backed Thunder | 14c | 268.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nuggets | 9c | 250$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Nuggets | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Nuggets | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 65c | 220$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Nuggets | 51c | 215.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Nuggets | 31c | 213.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Thunder | 71c | 207.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Thunder | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 17c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 61c | 199.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Thunder | 25c | 193.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Nuggets | 28c | 189.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Nuggets | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Nuggets | 28c | 166.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Thunder | 16c | 164.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Nuggets | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Nuggets | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Thunder | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…68b4backed Thunder | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 30c | 139.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Thunder | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Thunder | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Nuggets | 28c | 120.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…2e1cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 118.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…cbc2backed Thunder | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Thunder | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Thunder | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…7044backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Thunder | 71c | 86.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Thunder | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…8367backed Nuggets | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…0805backed Thunder | 72c | 69.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Thunder | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Nuggets | 35c | 69.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Nuggets | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Nuggets | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…7318backed Nuggets | 31c | 64.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…2706backed Nuggets | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Nuggets | 25c | 61.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…f15dbacked Thunder | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Nuggets | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Thunder | 64c | 54.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Thunder | 64c | 53.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Nuggets | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Nuggets | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…657fbacked Nuggets | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Nuggets | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.