NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7cb860a35bca0fc66515173e72ab642ad4bda0b0e5bb193d463a9747fe62de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Thunder | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…2650backed Thunder | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed Thunder | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Suns | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Suns | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Suns | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Suns | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Thunder | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Suns | 1c | 4,650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 1c | 3,011$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 26c | 2,468$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.36 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Thunder | 72c | 1,797$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.21 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Thunder | 73c | 1,792$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 70c | 1,674$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.17 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Suns | 30c | 1,599$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Thunder | 72c | 1,429$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Thunder | 73c | 1,329$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.83 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,281$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Suns | 2c | 1,070$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Suns | 12c | 1,044$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Suns | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Suns | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 27c | 999.74$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Thunder | 71c | 932.57$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.45 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Suns | 20c | 910.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Thunder | 74c | 762.29$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…6765backed Thunder | 74c | 693.07$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…a400backed Suns | 27c | 693.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…458bbacked Suns | 27c | 677.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 16c | 651.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Suns | 7c | 650$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 25c | 568.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Suns | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Thunder | 70c | 552.8$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Suns | 31c | 520.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Suns | 28c | 496.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…7462backed Suns | 20c | 477.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…29e5backed Suns | 27c | 411.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Suns | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f813backed Suns | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Suns | 15c | 330$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Suns | 31c | 322.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…28c6backed Suns | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Suns | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Suns | 28c | 299.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 26c | 293.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Thunder | 71c | 263.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Thunder | 75c | 259.45$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Suns | 26c | 220.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked Suns | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Thunder | 74c | 209.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Suns | 30c | 202.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Suns | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Suns | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Suns | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Thunder | 72c | 192$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Suns | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Suns | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…50b9backed Suns | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Suns | 28c | 152.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Thunder | 71c | 149.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…0d37backed Suns | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Thunder | 74c | 142.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Suns | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…0974backed Thunder | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…331ebacked Thunder | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…6f5cbacked Thunder | 72c | 131.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…34f8backed Suns | 28c | 127.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Suns | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Suns | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Thunder | 73c | 108.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…d809backed Suns | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…56ebbacked Thunder | 72c | 102.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Thunder | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Suns | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Thunder | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Suns | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Thunder | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Suns | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Suns | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Thunder | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Suns | 26c | 99.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Thunder | 71c | 89.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…b914backed Suns | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Thunder | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Suns | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Thunder | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Suns | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…2a44backed Suns | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…a26cbacked Thunder | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305f…f4c6backed Suns | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Suns | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…07f7backed Thunder | 72c | 50.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…ba98backed Thunder | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.